Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 26?
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
11%
23°C
12%
24°C
7%
25°C
10%
26°C
37%
27°C
48%
28°C
16%
29°C
9%
30°C
15%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
10%
27°C 48%
26°C 37%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
11%
23°C
$5 Vol.
12%
24°C
$38 Vol.
7%
25°C
$13 Vol.
10%
26°C
$0 Vol.
37%
27°C
$41 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$76 Vol.
9%
30°C
$5 Vol.
15%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$183End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$183End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai’s overnight low on August 26 will settle near 26–27°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with light winds and partly cloudy skies limiting radiative cooling. This aligns closely with late-August climatology, where average minima cluster around 26–27°C absent typhoon incursions or cold-air advection. No major synoptic shifts or precipitation events are projected in the 48-hour window that would push readings below 25°C or above 28°C, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward those central outcomes. Updated guidance through August 25 will refine dew-point and boundary-layer details ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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