Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms on August 24 as the dominant factor capping Taipei's daily maximum near 30–32°C. Persistent easterly flow and monsoon moisture favor convective development that reduces surface heating and solar insolation relative to clearer recent days. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns tilt probabilities toward the tightly bunched 29–30°C market leaders while leaving room for 31°C if convection develops later than modeled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 24?
30°C 26%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
$39,688 Vol.
$39,688 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
26%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
13%
30°C 26%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 14%
$39,688 Vol.
$39,688 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
14%
29°C
25%
30°C
26%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rcssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon thunderstorms on August 24 as the dominant factor capping Taipei's daily maximum near 30–32°C. Persistent easterly flow and monsoon moisture favor convective development that reduces surface heating and solar insolation relative to clearer recent days. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, with resolution hinging on exact timing and intensity of showers. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, yet current synoptic patterns tilt probabilities toward the tightly bunched 29–30°C market leaders while leaving room for 31°C if convection develops later than modeled.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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