Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This setup drives scattered showers, thunderstorms, and southwest winds that limit intense solar heating despite brief sunny intervals and an active heat warning. Afternoon observations across stations have reached 32–33°C locally, yet widespread cloud cover and convective activity keep the territory-wide peak aligned with the 32°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this model agreement and historical August patterns under similar monsoon influences. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap them lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 23?
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$110,514 Vol.
$110,514 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.6%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$110,514 Vol.
$110,514 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$1,150 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,114 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,467 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,267 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10,728 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,396 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$19,834 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$21,376 Vol.
100%
33°C
$15,860 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$8,645 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,676 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This setup drives scattered showers, thunderstorms, and southwest winds that limit intense solar heating despite brief sunny intervals and an active heat warning. Afternoon observations across stations have reached 32–33°C locally, yet widespread cloud cover and convective activity keep the territory-wide peak aligned with the 32°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this model agreement and historical August patterns under similar monsoon influences. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap them lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$110,514End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This setup drives scattered showers, thunderstorms, and southwest winds that limit intense solar heating despite brief sunny intervals and an active heat warning. Afternoon observations across stations have reached 32–33°C locally, yet widespread cloud cover and convective activity keep the territory-wide peak aligned with the 32°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this model agreement and historical August patterns under similar monsoon influences. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap them lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$110,514End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 23, 2026, center on a daily maximum near 32°C amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea and Guangdong coast. This setup drives scattered showers, thunderstorms, and southwest winds that limit intense solar heating despite brief sunny intervals and an active heat warning. Afternoon observations across stations have reached 32–33°C locally, yet widespread cloud cover and convective activity keep the territory-wide peak aligned with the 32°C threshold. Trader consensus at 99.7% implied probability reflects this model agreement and historical August patterns under similar monsoon influences. A shift toward clearer skies or delayed convection could push readings to 33°C, while heavier or earlier rain would cap them lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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