The Southwest Monsoon dominating Luzon has produced persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. PAGASA’s official station in Quezon City recorded a 31.5°C peak by 2 PM on August 23 within the 24-hour period ending at 4 PM, while multiple forecast models converge on highs of 29–31°C (roughly 85–88°F) amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. This consistent observational and model evidence underpins traders’ overwhelming consensus on the 32°C outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected monsoon weakening or prolonged clear breaks allowing brief additional warming, though current conditions and the late timing of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$25,222 Vol.
$25,222 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$25,222 Vol.
$25,222 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$285 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$947 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,810 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,692 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,435 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,050 Vol.
100%
33°C
$3,489 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,702 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,243 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Southwest Monsoon dominating Luzon has produced persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. PAGASA’s official station in Quezon City recorded a 31.5°C peak by 2 PM on August 23 within the 24-hour period ending at 4 PM, while multiple forecast models converge on highs of 29–31°C (roughly 85–88°F) amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. This consistent observational and model evidence underpins traders’ overwhelming consensus on the 32°C outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected monsoon weakening or prolonged clear breaks allowing brief additional warming, though current conditions and the late timing of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volume
$25,222End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Southwest Monsoon dominating Luzon has produced persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. PAGASA’s official station in Quezon City recorded a 31.5°C peak by 2 PM on August 23 within the 24-hour period ending at 4 PM, while multiple forecast models converge on highs of 29–31°C (roughly 85–88°F) amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. This consistent observational and model evidence underpins traders’ overwhelming consensus on the 32°C outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected monsoon weakening or prolonged clear breaks allowing brief additional warming, though current conditions and the late timing of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,222End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Southwest Monsoon dominating Luzon has produced persistent cloud cover, scattered rains, and thunderstorms across Metro Manila, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 31–32°C. PAGASA’s official station in Quezon City recorded a 31.5°C peak by 2 PM on August 23 within the 24-hour period ending at 4 PM, while multiple forecast models converge on highs of 29–31°C (roughly 85–88°F) amid high humidity and moderate southwest winds. This consistent observational and model evidence underpins traders’ overwhelming consensus on the 32°C outcome. A realistic challenge would require unexpected monsoon weakening or prolonged clear breaks allowing brief additional warming, though current conditions and the late timing of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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