Trader consensus on 106-107°F for Dallas’s highest temperature reflects National Weather Service point forecasts calling for a high near 107°F amid a persistent late-August heat wave, with recent days already reaching 106°F under strong high pressure and mostly sunny skies. Extreme Heat Warnings remain active through the evening, consistent with model guidance showing minimal cooling or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 95°F and the current lack of tropical moisture or fronts support limited upside beyond 108-109°F, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while cooler outcomes stay suppressed by the entrenched pattern. Updated NWS guidance and any afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 23?
106-107°F 56%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 18%
110-111°F 1.7%
NEW
$27,883 Vol.
NEW
$27,883 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
<1%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
25%
106-107°F
56%
108-109°F
18%
110-111°F
2%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116-117°F
<1%
118-119°F
<1%
120°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 56%
104-105°F 25%
108-109°F 18%
110-111°F 1.7%
NEW
$27,883 Vol.
NEW
$27,883 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
101°F or below
$2,833 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,115 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$3,326 Vol.
25%
106-107°F
$6,413 Vol.
56%
108-109°F
$4,281 Vol.
18%
110-111°F
$2,627 Vol.
2%
112-113°F
$1,545 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$405 Vol.
<1%
116-117°F
$357 Vol.
<1%
118-119°F
$482 Vol.
<1%
120°F or higher
$500 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 106-107°F for Dallas’s highest temperature reflects National Weather Service point forecasts calling for a high near 107°F amid a persistent late-August heat wave, with recent days already reaching 106°F under strong high pressure and mostly sunny skies. Extreme Heat Warnings remain active through the evening, consistent with model guidance showing minimal cooling or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 95°F and the current lack of tropical moisture or fronts support limited upside beyond 108-109°F, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while cooler outcomes stay suppressed by the entrenched pattern. Updated NWS guidance and any afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$27,883End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 106-107°F for Dallas’s highest temperature reflects National Weather Service point forecasts calling for a high near 107°F amid a persistent late-August heat wave, with recent days already reaching 106°F under strong high pressure and mostly sunny skies. Extreme Heat Warnings remain active through the evening, consistent with model guidance showing minimal cooling or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 95°F and the current lack of tropical moisture or fronts support limited upside beyond 108-109°F, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while cooler outcomes stay suppressed by the entrenched pattern. Updated NWS guidance and any afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,883End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 106-107°F for Dallas’s highest temperature reflects National Weather Service point forecasts calling for a high near 107°F amid a persistent late-August heat wave, with recent days already reaching 106°F under strong high pressure and mostly sunny skies. Extreme Heat Warnings remain active through the evening, consistent with model guidance showing minimal cooling or cloud cover. Historical August averages near 95°F and the current lack of tropical moisture or fronts support limited upside beyond 108-109°F, keeping higher bins at low implied probability while cooler outcomes stay suppressed by the entrenched pattern. Updated NWS guidance and any afternoon observations will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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