Aug 15, 2026
Breaking News
See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours
1

Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
99%
73%
2

Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%?
10%
53%
3

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?
75%
35%
4

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
74%
29%
5

Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
32%
24%
6

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
18%
21%
7

Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
7%
20%
8

Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
99%
19%
9


Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?
44%
18%
10


Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
64%
17%
11

Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?
25%
14%
12

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
40%
13%
13


Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
34%
12%
14

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
67%
11%
15

Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?
60%
10%
16

Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
35%
10%
17

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
67%
9%
18

Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?
47%
8%
19

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
16%
8%
20

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?
64%
8%
21

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
36%
8%
22

NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
42%
7%
23

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
31%
7%
24

Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
26%
7%
25


Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?
27%
6%








