Latest ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models indicate Munich’s peak temperature on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, producing the tight market split near 41–45 %. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind flow over the Isar valley create the narrow spread; a slightly stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed cooling would favor 23 °C, while earlier marine influence or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 22 °C. These values sit near the long-term August climatological mean for the city. Traders are watching the next DWD station update and final official maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 23?
22°C 45%
23°C 44%
24°C 8%
21°C 7%
$47,435 Vol.
$47,435 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
45%
23°C
44%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 45%
23°C 44%
24°C 8%
21°C 7%
$47,435 Vol.
$47,435 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
45%
23°C
44%
24°C
8%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensembles from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) models indicate Munich’s peak temperature on August 23 most likely between 22–23 °C, producing the tight market split near 41–45 %. Subtle differences in forecast timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind flow over the Isar valley create the narrow spread; a slightly stronger high-pressure ridge or delayed cooling would favor 23 °C, while earlier marine influence or increased cloud cover would cap readings at 22 °C. These values sit near the long-term August climatological mean for the city. Traders are watching the next DWD station update and final official maximum for resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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