Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Munich on August 25, driven by an incoming low-pressure system that will increase cloud cover and bring showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 23–24. Precipitation probabilities range from 37–76% across sources, with maximum temperatures suppressed by reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show minor variations in storm timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This pattern aligns with typical late-August transitions in central Europe, where frontal passages often cap highs below seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 25?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 25?
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 24%
22°C 19%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
9%
20°C
18%
21°C
27%
22°C
19%
23°C or higher
24%
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 24%
22°C 19%
20°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$10 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$0 Vol.
9%
20°C
$22 Vol.
18%
21°C
$46 Vol.
27%
22°C
$255 Vol.
19%
23°C or higher
$129 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Munich on August 25, driven by an incoming low-pressure system that will increase cloud cover and bring showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 23–24. Precipitation probabilities range from 37–76% across sources, with maximum temperatures suppressed by reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show minor variations in storm timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This pattern aligns with typical late-August transitions in central Europe, where frontal passages often cap highs below seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$401End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Munich on August 25, driven by an incoming low-pressure system that will increase cloud cover and bring showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 23–24. Precipitation probabilities range from 37–76% across sources, with maximum temperatures suppressed by reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show minor variations in storm timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This pattern aligns with typical late-August transitions in central Europe, where frontal passages often cap highs below seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$401End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 20–22°C for Munich on August 25, driven by an incoming low-pressure system that will increase cloud cover and bring showers or thunderstorms, limiting daytime heating compared to the clearer, warmer conditions on August 23–24. Precipitation probabilities range from 37–76% across sources, with maximum temperatures suppressed by reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 20–23°C because ensemble runs show minor variations in storm timing and intensity that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. This pattern aligns with typical late-August transitions in central Europe, where frontal passages often cap highs below seasonal averages of 24–26°C. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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