Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 24?
6°C or below 37%
7°C 32%
8°C 29%
9°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
37%
7°C
32%
8°C
29%
9°C
26%
10°C
21%
11°C
21%
12°C
8%
13°C
7%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
8%
6°C or below 37%
7°C 32%
8°C 29%
9°C 26%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Vol.
37%
7°C
$0 Vol.
32%
8°C
$0 Vol.
29%
9°C
$0 Vol.
26%
10°C
$0 Vol.
21%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
8%
13°C
$65 Vol.
7%
14°C
$135 Vol.
1%
15°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$134 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volume
$544End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$544End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS consensus and local stations indicate Munich's minimum temperature on August 24 will likely fall between 11–14°C, aligning with the long-term average low of 13.2°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. Limited radiative cooling overnight, combined with moderate humidity and dew points near 8–10°C, supports this range, while any increase in cloud cover or wind could raise the minimum by 1–2°C through reduced heat loss. Trader sentiment, reflected in elevated implied probabilities for sub-8°C outcomes despite model consensus, highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential model spread on exact overnight cooling rates ahead of official verification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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