Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy but dry day for Munich on August 24 under moderate easterly flow and stable high pressure, limiting daytime heating. This setup supports a maximum temperature near the long-term August average of 23.4°C, with consensus highs clustering between 22–25°C across runs. Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative boost that would push extremes higher, while variable cloud cover introduces minor uncertainty in peak readings. Traders have priced 23–24°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting the tight clustering of numerical guidance and absence of atypical synoptic drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on August 24?
24°C 39%
23°C 27%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
39%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 39%
23°C 27%
22°C 14%
25°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
39%
25°C
10%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and global ensembles indicate a mostly cloudy but dry day for Munich on August 24 under moderate easterly flow and stable high pressure, limiting daytime heating. This setup supports a maximum temperature near the long-term August average of 23.4°C, with consensus highs clustering between 22–25°C across runs. Recent observations show no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative boost that would push extremes higher, while variable cloud cover introduces minor uncertainty in peak readings. Traders have priced 23–24°C as the dominant outcomes, reflecting the tight clustering of numerical guidance and absence of atypical synoptic drivers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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