Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
$35,426 Vol.
NEW
$35,426 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
NEW
$35,426 Vol.
NEW
$35,426 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
73°F or below
$753 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,735 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$3,723 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$4,139 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$5,128 Vol.
37%
82-83°F
$9,477 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$4,473 Vol.
12%
86-87°F
$3,253 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$857 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$248 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$639 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$35,426End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$35,426End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a daytime high near 82–83°F for Central Park on August 23, driven by morning cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit solar heating before partial afternoon clearing. This positions the market's leading bin as the most probable outcome given typical August climatology of 83°F and the current steering pattern favoring modest onshore flow. Updated model runs show limited upside potential above 84°F due to persistent moisture and weak ridging, while downside risks remain constrained by the seasonal baseline. Traders are closely monitoring the next NWS forecast discussion for any shifts in timing or intensity that could alter the final observed maximum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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