Persistent warm, humid air under monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiative cooling across Shenzhen, anchoring the August 23 minimum near 28°C according to the latest consensus from regional forecast models. Subtropical summer conditions with 80–90% relative humidity and light southerly flow typically produce overnight lows of 26–27°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted the expected reading upward. Trader positioning at 97.6% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong model agreement, while the slim remaining odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest rain or boundary-layer mixing. Updated observational data or a final model run could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 23?
28°C 99.0%
26°C 2%
27°C 2%
29°C <1%
$23,225 Vol.
$23,225 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.0%
26°C 2%
27°C 2%
29°C <1%
$23,225 Vol.
$23,225 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$110 Vol.
1%
25°C
$85 Vol.
1%
26°C
$98 Vol.
2%
27°C
$139 Vol.
2%
28°C
$6,254 Vol.
99%
29°C
$12,803 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,070 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$334 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiative cooling across Shenzhen, anchoring the August 23 minimum near 28°C according to the latest consensus from regional forecast models. Subtropical summer conditions with 80–90% relative humidity and light southerly flow typically produce overnight lows of 26–27°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted the expected reading upward. Trader positioning at 97.6% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong model agreement, while the slim remaining odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest rain or boundary-layer mixing. Updated observational data or a final model run could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$23,225End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent warm, humid air under monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiative cooling across Shenzhen, anchoring the August 23 minimum near 28°C according to the latest consensus from regional forecast models. Subtropical summer conditions with 80–90% relative humidity and light southerly flow typically produce overnight lows of 26–27°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted the expected reading upward. Trader positioning at 97.6% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong model agreement, while the slim remaining odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest rain or boundary-layer mixing. Updated observational data or a final model run could still alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,225End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent warm, humid air under monsoon influence and widespread cloud cover from thunderstorms have limited nighttime radiative cooling across Shenzhen, anchoring the August 23 minimum near 28°C according to the latest consensus from regional forecast models. Subtropical summer conditions with 80–90% relative humidity and light southerly flow typically produce overnight lows of 26–27°C, yet current atmospheric stability and moisture have shifted the expected reading upward. Trader positioning at 97.6% implied probability for 28°C reflects this strong model agreement, while the slim remaining odds acknowledge minor uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest rain or boundary-layer mixing. Updated observational data or a final model run could still alter the outcome before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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