Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate rain expected overnight on August 23–24 limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the lowest temperature clustered around 25–27°C according to official forecasts. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points near 26°C further reduce overnight drops, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta may add slight warmth. Model consensus from regional agencies shows only minor variations in precipitation timing that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local radar trends on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
23°C 46%
27°C 36%
25°C 34%
28°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
46%
24°C
6%
25°C
34%
26°C
10%
27°C
36%
28°C
30%
29°C
14%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
12%
23°C 46%
27°C 36%
25°C 34%
28°C 30%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$802 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
46%
24°C
$103 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
34%
26°C
$0 Vol.
10%
27°C
$0 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$25 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$5 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate rain expected overnight on August 23–24 limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the lowest temperature clustered around 25–27°C according to official forecasts. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points near 26°C further reduce overnight drops, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta may add slight warmth. Model consensus from regional agencies shows only minor variations in precipitation timing that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local radar trends on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,229End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate rain expected overnight on August 23–24 limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the lowest temperature clustered around 25–27°C according to official forecasts. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points near 26°C further reduce overnight drops, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta may add slight warmth. Model consensus from regional agencies shows only minor variations in precipitation timing that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local radar trends on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,229End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and moderate rain expected overnight on August 23–24 limit radiative cooling and compress the diurnal range in Shenzhen’s humid subtropical climate, keeping the lowest temperature clustered around 25–27°C according to official forecasts. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points near 26°C further reduce overnight drops, while urban heat island effects in the Pearl River Delta may add slight warmth. Model consensus from regional agencies shows only minor variations in precipitation timing that could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, explaining the tight market spread between 25°C and 28°C outcomes. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration or local radar trends on the morning of the 24th will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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