Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 24?
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
$14,666 Vol.
NEW
$14,666 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
30%
32°C
27%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 30%
32°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 13%
NEW
$14,666 Vol.
NEW
$14,666 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$384 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$682 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,332 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,819 Vol.
8%
30°C
$2,993 Vol.
13%
31°C
$3,032 Vol.
30%
32°C
$932 Vol.
27%
33°C
$1,087 Vol.
15%
34°C
$947 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$1,045 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$14,666End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,666End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to a highest temperature of 31–32 °C in Shenzhen on August 24 as the most probable outcome, reflecting persistent monsoon-driven cloud cover, high humidity near 85–90 %, and scattered to moderate rainfall that limits solar heating. Southwest winds and a stable subtropical pattern are expected to suppress peak values below the seasonal 32 °C average, with official guidance from Chinese meteorological sources aligning closely on daytime maxima around 31 °C amid thunderstorm activity. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 31 °C and 32 °C against minor model differences in timing and intensity of precipitation, while lower probabilities for 33 °C or above reflect the current wet conditions that have held temperatures in check over the past several days.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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