Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern, which are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 23. Official guidance aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 33.2°C for the date, while hourly observations and model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius before rain develops. These atmospheric conditions explain the market's strong consensus around 33°C, with modest probabilities for 34–35°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow higher readings before cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
33°C 84%
34°C 11%
35°C 10%
37°C <1%
$66,330 Vol.
$66,330 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
84%
34°C
11%
35°C
10%
36°C
<1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 84%
34°C 11%
35°C 10%
37°C <1%
$66,330 Vol.
$66,330 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$840 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$16,005 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,937 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$11,583 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,561 Vol.
84%
34°C
$3,007 Vol.
11%
35°C
$2,942 Vol.
10%
36°C
$5,711 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$5,291 Vol.
1%
38°C
$1,012 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$10,442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern, which are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 23. Official guidance aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 33.2°C for the date, while hourly observations and model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius before rain develops. These atmospheric conditions explain the market's strong consensus around 33°C, with modest probabilities for 34–35°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow higher readings before cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$66,330End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern, which are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 23. Official guidance aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 33.2°C for the date, while hourly observations and model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius before rain develops. These atmospheric conditions explain the market's strong consensus around 33°C, with modest probabilities for 34–35°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow higher readings before cooling.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$66,330End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological services indicate persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 70-90%, and scattered thunderstorms driven by the East Asian monsoon pattern, which are suppressing peak daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 23. Official guidance aligns closely with the long-term climatological average high of 33.2°C for the date, while hourly observations and model runs show afternoon temperatures climbing into the mid-30s Celsius before rain develops. These atmospheric conditions explain the market's strong consensus around 33°C, with modest probabilities for 34–35°C reflecting uncertainty in the precise timing and intensity of convective activity that could briefly allow higher readings before cooling.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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