**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$94,133 Vol.
$94,133 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$94,133 Vol.
$94,133 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$231 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,777 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,986 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,842 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,801 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$11,596 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$46,311 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,675 Vol.
99%
33°C
$5,124 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,631 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$2,158 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$94,133End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94,133End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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