Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 23 project a daily minimum of 23°C under cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and high humidity near 80%, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows clustered between 23–25°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer warmth, with model consensus reinforcing limited diurnal variation. Recent observations confirm stable warm advection patterns without significant cold fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling that could drop readings lower. Only an unexpected early-morning temperature plunge below 23°C—unlikely given current steering patterns—would alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 23?
23°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$19,189 Vol.
$19,189 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
$19,189 Vol.
$19,189 Vol.
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Incheon on August 23 project a daily minimum of 23°C under cloudy conditions with light northerly winds and high humidity near 80%, aligning precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability on that outcome. Late-August climatology shows typical overnight lows clustered between 23–25°C as seasonal cooling begins after peak summer warmth, with model consensus reinforcing limited diurnal variation. Recent observations confirm stable warm advection patterns without significant cold fronts or clear-sky radiative cooling that could drop readings lower. Only an unexpected early-morning temperature plunge below 23°C—unlikely given current steering patterns—would alter resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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