**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming. The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 23?
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$63,223 Vol.
$63,223 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$63,223 Vol.
$63,223 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$6,316 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$8,332 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,595 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,649 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,345 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,041 Vol.
100%
33°C
$6,391 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,086 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$3,746 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,565 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,157 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.**
Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming.
The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$63,223End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.**
Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming.
The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$63,223End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon influences and widespread cloud cover with showers have capped maximum temperatures in Taipei today, aligning closely with official Central Weather Administration forecasts of 27–34°C and supporting the near-certain 32°C outcome at 99.4% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from WeatherBug and Weather Atlas, project a daytime high near 31–32°C (roughly 83–89°F) under overcast skies and 70–100% rain chances, consistent with climatological norms where August 23 highs average 26–32°C and rarely exceed 34°C. High humidity, easterly winds, and convective activity from a low-pressure trough have suppressed solar heating and prevented significant warming. The dominant market consensus reflects real-time observational data and model agreement favoring exactly 32°C as the official peak. Only substantial early clearing of clouds or unexpected model divergence could realistically push readings to 33–34°C, though current conditions make this unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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