Science predictions & odds

Weather·Aliens

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

$66M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,684

Ends in 4 months

December 31

$66M Vol.

$1M Liq.

1,684

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

$4.1K Vol.

$197 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

16%

$4.1K Vol.

$197 Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Science

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

$6M Vol.

$763K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

56%

Anthropic

$6M Vol.

$763K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Culture·Science

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

$50.1K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

71%

December 31, 2028

$50.1K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in over 2 years

Tech·AI

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$4.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

11%

December 31, 2026

$4.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Pandemics

New pandemic in 2026?

$1M Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$1M Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Global Temp

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

$3M Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

75%

$3M Vol.

$124K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·AI

SSI public model released by…?

$78.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

50%

October 31

$78.3K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Tech·Big Tech

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

$445K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

97%

October 31

$445K Vol.

$45.7K Liq.

Ends in 10 months

Weather·Measles

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

$8M Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

100%

↑3.5k

$8M Vol.

$18.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

$11.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

$11.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Science

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

$937K Vol.

$78.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

December 31, 2026

$937K Vol.

$78.3K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Culture·Science

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

$13.7K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

15%

December 31, 2027

$13.7K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Weather·Climate

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

$146K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

$146K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Weather·Precipitation

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

$9.1K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

33%

<75mm

$9.1K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Weather·Climate

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

$24.1K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

69%

Over 2.5

$24.1K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Weather·Astroid

Natural Disaster in 2026?

$245K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

18%

$245K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Weather·Natural Disasters

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

$20.7K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

32%

September 15 - 30, 2026

$20.7K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Weather·Climate

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

$23.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

36%

Fay

$23.9K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Tech·AI

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

$45.0K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

55%

Google

$45.0K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Science.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Science that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $86.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 4% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Science predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Science shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Science prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Science prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Science predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Science prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Science markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Science prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Science predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Science odds?

Can I track Science predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Science markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Science prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Science markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Science prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Science predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Science odds?

Can I track Science predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Science markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Science predictions & odds