Late-summer conditions over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical late-August climatology with historical daily highs near 29–31°C, position Seoul-Incheon for a maximum temperature of 30–31°C on August 24. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects model consensus around these values amid forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Partial cloud cover and elevated dew points could limit daytime heating to favor 30°C, while clearer skies or reduced humidity would support 31°C; tails for 32°C or higher require stronger subsidence and minimal precipitation. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs will clarify the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 24?
31°C 43%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEW
$10,530 Vol.
NEW
$10,530 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
33%
31°C
43%
32°C
13%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 43%
30°C 33%
32°C 13%
29°C 9%
NEW
$10,530 Vol.
NEW
$10,530 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$835 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$577 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$541 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$420 Vol.
1%
28°C
$789 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,514 Vol.
9%
30°C
$2,649 Vol.
33%
31°C
$1,034 Vol.
43%
32°C
$1,166 Vol.
13%
33°C or higher
$562 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer conditions over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical late-August climatology with historical daily highs near 29–31°C, position Seoul-Incheon for a maximum temperature of 30–31°C on August 24. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects model consensus around these values amid forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Partial cloud cover and elevated dew points could limit daytime heating to favor 30°C, while clearer skies or reduced humidity would support 31°C; tails for 32°C or higher require stronger subsidence and minimal precipitation. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs will clarify the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$10,530End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Late-summer conditions over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical late-August climatology with historical daily highs near 29–31°C, position Seoul-Incheon for a maximum temperature of 30–31°C on August 24. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects model consensus around these values amid forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Partial cloud cover and elevated dew points could limit daytime heating to favor 30°C, while clearer skies or reduced humidity would support 31°C; tails for 32°C or higher require stronger subsidence and minimal precipitation. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs will clarify the outcome ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,530End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...Late-summer conditions over the Korean Peninsula, shaped by the persistent North Pacific High and typical late-August climatology with historical daily highs near 29–31°C, position Seoul-Incheon for a maximum temperature of 30–31°C on August 24. The market’s near-even split between 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) reflects model consensus around these values amid forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture. Partial cloud cover and elevated dew points could limit daytime heating to favor 30°C, while clearer skies or reduced humidity would support 31°C; tails for 32°C or higher require stronger subsidence and minimal precipitation. Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble runs will clarify the outcome ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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