Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions over the South China coast, with south to southwest winds at force 4-5, high humidity of 75-95%, and showers gradually increasing to include squally thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar radiation and evaporative cooling, while steering patterns from nearby tropical systems like Narra introduce variability in rainfall timing that could cap peaks near 30°C or allow brief clears toward 31°C. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 36.5% and 30°C at 30%, reflects this narrow margin of uncertainty in model runs and observational trends for the final 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
31°C 37%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
NEW
$12,630 Vol.
NEW
$12,630 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
14%
30°C
30%
31°C
37%
32°C
15%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 30%
32°C 15%
29°C 14%
NEW
$12,630 Vol.
NEW
$12,630 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$203 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,748 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,494 Vol.
14%
30°C
$2,348 Vol.
30%
31°C
$1,341 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,237 Vol.
15%
33°C
$1,869 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$427 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions over the South China coast, with south to southwest winds at force 4-5, high humidity of 75-95%, and showers gradually increasing to include squally thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar radiation and evaporative cooling, while steering patterns from nearby tropical systems like Narra introduce variability in rainfall timing that could cap peaks near 30°C or allow brief clears toward 31°C. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 36.5% and 30°C at 30%, reflects this narrow margin of uncertainty in model runs and observational trends for the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,630End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions over the South China coast, with south to southwest winds at force 4-5, high humidity of 75-95%, and showers gradually increasing to include squally thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar radiation and evaporative cooling, while steering patterns from nearby tropical systems like Narra introduce variability in rainfall timing that could cap peaks near 30°C or allow brief clears toward 31°C. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 36.5% and 30°C at 30%, reflects this narrow margin of uncertainty in model runs and observational trends for the final 24-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,630End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 31°C for August 24 amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions over the South China coast, with south to southwest winds at force 4-5, high humidity of 75-95%, and showers gradually increasing to include squally thunderstorms. This setup favors modest daytime heating as cloud cover and precipitation limit solar radiation and evaporative cooling, while steering patterns from nearby tropical systems like Narra introduce variability in rainfall timing that could cap peaks near 30°C or allow brief clears toward 31°C. Trader consensus, with 31°C at 36.5% and 30°C at 30%, reflects this narrow margin of uncertainty in model runs and observational trends for the final 24-hour window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions