Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and affiliated models indicate a high near 101°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and strong solar heating typical of late-summer conditions. Recent observations, including a 103°F reading on August 22, support this range while climatological norms hover near 93°F. Trader consensus heavily favors the 100-101°F bin at 64% implied probability, with 102-103°F at just 13.5%, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures and low chances of significant deviation from subsidence and minimal moisture. Updated model runs and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 1.1%
$23,059 Vol.
$23,059 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
20%
100-101°F
64%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 64%
98-99°F 20%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 1.1%
$23,059 Vol.
$23,059 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
$450 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$294 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$3,178 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$4,124 Vol.
20%
100-101°F
$7,305 Vol.
64%
102-103°F
$4,799 Vol.
14%
104-105°F
$1,522 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$359 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$269 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$347 Vol.
<1%
112°F or higher
$413 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and affiliated models indicate a high near 101°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and strong solar heating typical of late-summer conditions. Recent observations, including a 103°F reading on August 22, support this range while climatological norms hover near 93°F. Trader consensus heavily favors the 100-101°F bin at 64% implied probability, with 102-103°F at just 13.5%, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures and low chances of significant deviation from subsidence and minimal moisture. Updated model runs and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$23,059End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and affiliated models indicate a high near 101°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and strong solar heating typical of late-summer conditions. Recent observations, including a 103°F reading on August 22, support this range while climatological norms hover near 93°F. Trader consensus heavily favors the 100-101°F bin at 64% implied probability, with 102-103°F at just 13.5%, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures and low chances of significant deviation from subsidence and minimal moisture. Updated model runs and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,059End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and affiliated models indicate a high near 101°F for Houston on August 23 under sunny skies and light southwest winds, driven by persistent high pressure and strong solar heating typical of late-summer conditions. Recent observations, including a 103°F reading on August 22, support this range while climatological norms hover near 93°F. Trader consensus heavily favors the 100-101°F bin at 64% implied probability, with 102-103°F at just 13.5%, reflecting model agreement on peak temperatures and low chances of significant deviation from subsidence and minimal moisture. Updated model runs and afternoon observations remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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