National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 101°F amid a persistent regional heatwave, southerly winds, and high humidity that restricts overnight cooling and supports daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model consensus and climatological baselines—where August averages hover near 93–95°F with rare exceedances of 100°F—position 98–101°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, while sea-breeze moderation and any afternoon convection introduce downside risk to the 96–97°F bin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F reflects current guidance and historical August patterns, though slight upside potential to 102°F+ remains if drier air aloft allows further intensification before coastal influences arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
11%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
29%
102-103°F
5%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
100-101°F 29%
96-97°F 11%
102-103°F 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
91°F or below
$444 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$99 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$442 Vol.
11%
98-99°F
$383 Vol.
56%
100-101°F
$342 Vol.
29%
102-103°F
$175 Vol.
5%
104-105°F
$104 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$99 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$11 Vol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 101°F amid a persistent regional heatwave, southerly winds, and high humidity that restricts overnight cooling and supports daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model consensus and climatological baselines—where August averages hover near 93–95°F with rare exceedances of 100°F—position 98–101°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, while sea-breeze moderation and any afternoon convection introduce downside risk to the 96–97°F bin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F reflects current guidance and historical August patterns, though slight upside potential to 102°F+ remains if drier air aloft allows further intensification before coastal influences arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Volume
$2,480End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 101°F amid a persistent regional heatwave, southerly winds, and high humidity that restricts overnight cooling and supports daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model consensus and climatological baselines—where August averages hover near 93–95°F with rare exceedances of 100°F—position 98–101°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, while sea-breeze moderation and any afternoon convection introduce downside risk to the 96–97°F bin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F reflects current guidance and historical August patterns, though slight upside potential to 102°F+ remains if drier air aloft allows further intensification before coastal influences arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,480End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 project a sunny, hot day with a high near 101°F amid a persistent regional heatwave, southerly winds, and high humidity that restricts overnight cooling and supports daytime maxima in the upper 90s to low 100s. Model consensus and climatological baselines—where August averages hover near 93–95°F with rare exceedances of 100°F—position 98–101°F ranges as the most probable outcomes, while sea-breeze moderation and any afternoon convection introduce downside risk to the 96–97°F bin. The market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F reflects current guidance and historical August patterns, though slight upside potential to 102°F+ remains if drier air aloft allows further intensification before coastal influences arrive.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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