Persistent monsoon cloud cover and moderate southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea are the main factors capping trader expectations for Karachi’s peak temperature today near 29–30 °C. These conditions limit solar heating and align with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31 °C but frequently fall short under humid, overcast skies and light drizzle. Recent model consensus and morning observations showing temperatures already suppressed reinforce the narrow 29–30 °C band, while the slim probabilities attached to 31 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before evening. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s final daily maximum will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 23?
30°C 52%
29°C 45.0%
31°C 5%
32°C 3%
$23,517 Vol.
$23,517 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
49%
30°C
46%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
29°C 45.0%
31°C 5%
32°C 3%
$23,517 Vol.
$23,517 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
49%
30°C
46%
31°C
5%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon cloud cover and moderate southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea are the main factors capping trader expectations for Karachi’s peak temperature today near 29–30 °C. These conditions limit solar heating and align with late-August climatology, where average highs hover around 31 °C but frequently fall short under humid, overcast skies and light drizzle. Recent model consensus and morning observations showing temperatures already suppressed reinforce the narrow 29–30 °C band, while the slim probabilities attached to 31 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of rapid clearing or stronger insolation before evening. The Pakistan Meteorological Department’s final daily maximum will resolve the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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