Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 24, 2026, are likely to reach 32–33°C amid the ongoing monsoon period. Weak monsoon currents and intermittent showers or sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea have suppressed daytime maxima below seasonal peaks, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Above-normal humidity and cloud cover further limit intense heating, while historical August averages near 31–32°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs or clearer skies could shift probabilities toward 34°C, but current consensus favors the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 24?
33°C 48%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
32%
33°C
48%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 48%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$112 Vol.
1%
29°C
$178 Vol.
1%
30°C
$106 Vol.
2%
31°C
$745 Vol.
6%
32°C
$849 Vol.
32%
33°C
$502 Vol.
48%
34°C
$837 Vol.
11%
35°C
$107 Vol.
3%
36°C
$46 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$158 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 24, 2026, are likely to reach 32–33°C amid the ongoing monsoon period. Weak monsoon currents and intermittent showers or sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea have suppressed daytime maxima below seasonal peaks, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Above-normal humidity and cloud cover further limit intense heating, while historical August averages near 31–32°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs or clearer skies could shift probabilities toward 34°C, but current consensus favors the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,748End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 24, 2026, are likely to reach 32–33°C amid the ongoing monsoon period. Weak monsoon currents and intermittent showers or sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea have suppressed daytime maxima below seasonal peaks, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Above-normal humidity and cloud cover further limit intense heating, while historical August averages near 31–32°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs or clearer skies could shift probabilities toward 34°C, but current consensus favors the lower end of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,748End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate highest temperatures in Karachi on August 24, 2026, are likely to reach 32–33°C amid the ongoing monsoon period. Weak monsoon currents and intermittent showers or sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea have suppressed daytime maxima below seasonal peaks, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on these outcomes. Above-normal humidity and cloud cover further limit intense heating, while historical August averages near 31–32°C provide climatological context. Updated model runs or clearer skies could shift probabilities toward 34°C, but current consensus favors the lower end of the distribution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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