Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 80°F on August 24 amid persistent heat and humidity, with a heat advisory in effect and highs topping 100°F. Typical August minima hover around 77°F based on historical climatology, but a noted tropical storm threat for August 23-25 introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, possible showers, and altered steering patterns that could modestly suppress or elevate the daily minimum. Market-implied odds favor either sub-70°F readings or 88°F-plus values at roughly 43% and 30%, respectively, reflecting trader focus on forecast model spread and resolution thresholds rather than baseline conditions. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance on any nearby systems remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Houston on August 24?
69°F or below 84%
88°F or higher 60%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
84%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
60%
69°F or below 84%
88°F or higher 60%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 20%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
84%
70-71°F
$121 Vol.
18%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
19%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$5 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$5 Vol.
2%
88°F or higher
$5 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 80°F on August 24 amid persistent heat and humidity, with a heat advisory in effect and highs topping 100°F. Typical August minima hover around 77°F based on historical climatology, but a noted tropical storm threat for August 23-25 introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, possible showers, and altered steering patterns that could modestly suppress or elevate the daily minimum. Market-implied odds favor either sub-70°F readings or 88°F-plus values at roughly 43% and 30%, respectively, reflecting trader focus on forecast model spread and resolution thresholds rather than baseline conditions. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance on any nearby systems remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$141End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 80°F on August 24 amid persistent heat and humidity, with a heat advisory in effect and highs topping 100°F. Typical August minima hover around 77°F based on historical climatology, but a noted tropical storm threat for August 23-25 introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, possible showers, and altered steering patterns that could modestly suppress or elevate the daily minimum. Market-implied odds favor either sub-70°F readings or 88°F-plus values at roughly 43% and 30%, respectively, reflecting trader focus on forecast model spread and resolution thresholds rather than baseline conditions. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance on any nearby systems remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$141End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather forecasts for Houston indicate overnight lows near 80°F on August 24 amid persistent heat and humidity, with a heat advisory in effect and highs topping 100°F. Typical August minima hover around 77°F based on historical climatology, but a noted tropical storm threat for August 23-25 introduces uncertainty through increased cloud cover, possible showers, and altered steering patterns that could modestly suppress or elevate the daily minimum. Market-implied odds favor either sub-70°F readings or 88°F-plus values at roughly 43% and 30%, respectively, reflecting trader focus on forecast model spread and resolution thresholds rather than baseline conditions. Updated NHC and NOAA guidance on any nearby systems remains the key near-term catalyst ahead of the 24-hour observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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