Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards Game of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, with a tight cluster of contenders including Resident Evil Requiem, Stranger Than Heaven, Gears of War: E-Day, and Control Resonant all hovering near 36%. GTA VI's position stems from its massive cultural anticipation and Rockstar's track record, though its November 19, 2026 release leaves little time for critical consensus before the December 10 ceremony. Traders weigh factors such as critical reception, sales velocity, and industry buzz for late-year titles, while lower odds on Marvel's Wolverine (6.9%) and Fable (4.5%) reflect delayed releases or narrower appeal. Upcoming reviews, sales data, and precursor discussions will likely drive volatility in this crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
Resident Evil Requiem 37%
Stranger Than Heaven 37%
The Duskbloods 36.1%
Gears of War: E-Day 36%
Resident Evil Requiem
37%
Stranger Than Heaven
37%
The Duskbloods
36%
Gears of War: E-Day
36%
Marathon
36%
Crimson Desert
36%
Cairn
35%
Esoteric Ebb
34%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
34%
Reanimal
34%
Forza Horizon 6
34%
Phantom Blade Zero
34%
Exodus
33%
Marvel's Wolverine
7%
Pragmata
5%
Fable
5%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
5%
Nioh 3
4%
Half-Life 3
4%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Grand Theft Auto VI
47%
Control Resonant
36%
007 First Light
34%
Saros
33%
Resident Evil Requiem 37%
Stranger Than Heaven 37%
The Duskbloods 36.1%
Gears of War: E-Day 36%
Resident Evil Requiem
37%
Stranger Than Heaven
37%
The Duskbloods
36%
Gears of War: E-Day
36%
Marathon
36%
Crimson Desert
36%
Cairn
35%
Esoteric Ebb
34%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
34%
Reanimal
34%
Forza Horizon 6
34%
Phantom Blade Zero
34%
Exodus
33%
Marvel's Wolverine
7%
Pragmata
5%
Fable
5%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
5%
Nioh 3
4%
Half-Life 3
4%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Grand Theft Auto VI
47%
Control Resonant
36%
007 First Light
34%
Saros
33%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards Game of the Year market at 45.5% implied probability, with a tight cluster of contenders including Resident Evil Requiem, Stranger Than Heaven, Gears of War: E-Day, and Control Resonant all hovering near 36%. GTA VI's position stems from its massive cultural anticipation and Rockstar's track record, though its November 19, 2026 release leaves little time for critical consensus before the December 10 ceremony. Traders weigh factors such as critical reception, sales velocity, and industry buzz for late-year titles, while lower odds on Marvel's Wolverine (6.9%) and Fable (4.5%) reflect delayed releases or narrower appeal. Upcoming reviews, sales data, and precursor discussions will likely drive volatility in this crowded field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions