Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, with trader consensus reflecting tight spreads around these bins due to subtle differences in predicted maximums. A northerly airflow and increased cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 20–22°C, while light drizzle and overcast conditions limit solar radiation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts, creating the close probabilities between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 26?
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C
25%
16°C
26%
17°C
30%
18°C
15%
19°C
11%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
6%
17°C 30%
16°C 26%
15°C 25%
18°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
2%
13°C
$5 Vol.
5%
14°C
$0 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
26%
17°C
$7 Vol.
30%
18°C
$0 Vol.
15%
19°C
$0 Vol.
11%
20°C
$5 Vol.
6%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, with trader consensus reflecting tight spreads around these bins due to subtle differences in predicted maximums. A northerly airflow and increased cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 20–22°C, while light drizzle and overcast conditions limit solar radiation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts, creating the close probabilities between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$22End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, with trader consensus reflecting tight spreads around these bins due to subtle differences in predicted maximums. A northerly airflow and increased cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 20–22°C, while light drizzle and overcast conditions limit solar radiation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts, creating the close probabilities between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from major forecasting centers indicate Moscow's peak temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 15–17°C range, with trader consensus reflecting tight spreads around these bins due to subtle differences in predicted maximums. A northerly airflow and increased cloud cover are suppressing daytime heating below late-August climatological norms of 20–22°C, while light drizzle and overcast conditions limit solar radiation. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to exact timing of any brief clearing or wind shifts, creating the close probabilities between 15°C, 16°C, and 17°C. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours could refine the peak before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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