Traders see the tightest probabilities clustered on 37°C and 38°C because ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show only modest spread in maximum temperatures two days out. The city’s basin topography and urban heat-island effect routinely amplify afternoon readings under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, while southerly monsoon flow supplies additional moisture and instability that can either cap temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Recent model consensus places the most likely peak near 37–38 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet small shifts in steering flow or timing of any convective cells could tip the daily maximum by a degree either way. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clearest signal for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 26?
37°C 28%
38°C 27%
40°C 17%
39°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
32°C or below
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
11%
36°C
14%
37°C
28%
38°C
27%
39°C
16%
40°C
17%
41°C
15%
42°C or higher
7%
37°C 28%
38°C 27%
40°C 17%
39°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
32°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
33°C
$7 Vol.
2%
34°C
$0 Vol.
9%
35°C
$0 Vol.
11%
36°C
$0 Vol.
14%
37°C
$0 Vol.
28%
38°C
$0 Vol.
27%
39°C
$0 Vol.
16%
40°C
$0 Vol.
17%
41°C
$0 Vol.
15%
42°C or higher
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest probabilities clustered on 37°C and 38°C because ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show only modest spread in maximum temperatures two days out. The city’s basin topography and urban heat-island effect routinely amplify afternoon readings under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, while southerly monsoon flow supplies additional moisture and instability that can either cap temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Recent model consensus places the most likely peak near 37–38 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet small shifts in steering flow or timing of any convective cells could tip the daily maximum by a degree either way. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clearest signal for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the tightest probabilities clustered on 37°C and 38°C because ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show only modest spread in maximum temperatures two days out. The city’s basin topography and urban heat-island effect routinely amplify afternoon readings under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, while southerly monsoon flow supplies additional moisture and instability that can either cap temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Recent model consensus places the most likely peak near 37–38 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet small shifts in steering flow or timing of any convective cells could tip the daily maximum by a degree either way. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clearest signal for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the tightest probabilities clustered on 37°C and 38°C because ensemble forecasts for Chongqing show only modest spread in maximum temperatures two days out. The city’s basin topography and urban heat-island effect routinely amplify afternoon readings under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, while southerly monsoon flow supplies additional moisture and instability that can either cap temperatures through cloud cover or allow brief clearing to push readings higher. Recent model consensus places the most likely peak near 37–38 °C, consistent with late-August climatology, yet small shifts in steering flow or timing of any convective cells could tip the daily maximum by a degree either way. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles over the next 24–48 hours will provide the next clearest signal for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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