Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 26?
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
11%
29°C
13%
30°C
31%
31°C
28%
32°C
18%
33°C
11%
34°C
17%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 31%
31°C 28%
32°C 18%
34°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$120 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
11%
29°C
$0 Vol.
13%
30°C
$24 Vol.
31%
31°C
$0 Vol.
28%
32°C
$15 Vol.
18%
33°C
$25 Vol.
11%
34°C
$5 Vol.
17%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$194End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$194End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Shenzhen on August 26 center on a daytime maximum of 30–32°C amid subtropical monsoon conditions, with persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating solar heating. These factors—particularly the timing and intensity of rainfall—create tight differentiation among the leading market outcomes, as breaks in overcast skies could briefly allow peaks near 32°C while prolonged precipitation favors 30°C. Ensemble model consensus and climatological August baselines near 31–32°C underpin the balanced probabilities, though forecast uncertainty persists until final observational data from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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