Current forecast consensus from MetService and Met Office points to a daily maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front. This setup produces a modest positive anomaly relative to the August climatological average of roughly 13 °C. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 14–15 °C range and only modest potential for localized sheltering or brief clearing to push the peak 1 °C higher or lower in the city’s orographic and coastal microclimates. No significant model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment to the narrow 14–16 °C window reflected in the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 24?
15°C 59%
16°C 26%
14°C 11%
17°C 7%
NEW
$16,137 Vol.
NEW
$16,137 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
11%
15°C
59%
16°C
26%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 59%
16°C 26%
14°C 11%
17°C 7%
NEW
$16,137 Vol.
NEW
$16,137 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$364 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$572 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$756 Vol.
2%
14°C
$2,562 Vol.
11%
15°C
$4,178 Vol.
59%
16°C
$3,213 Vol.
26%
17°C
$2,720 Vol.
7%
18°C
$721 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$385 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from MetService and Met Office points to a daily maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front. This setup produces a modest positive anomaly relative to the August climatological average of roughly 13 °C. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 14–15 °C range and only modest potential for localized sheltering or brief clearing to push the peak 1 °C higher or lower in the city’s orographic and coastal microclimates. No significant model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment to the narrow 14–16 °C window reflected in the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$16,137End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from MetService and Met Office points to a daily maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front. This setup produces a modest positive anomaly relative to the August climatological average of roughly 13 °C. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 14–15 °C range and only modest potential for localized sheltering or brief clearing to push the peak 1 °C higher or lower in the city’s orographic and coastal microclimates. No significant model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment to the narrow 14–16 °C window reflected in the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,137End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from MetService and Met Office points to a daily maximum of 14–15 °C in Wellington on 24 August 2026, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air ahead of a weak front. This setup produces a modest positive anomaly relative to the August climatological average of roughly 13 °C. Model guidance shows limited spread, with most runs clustering in the 14–15 °C range and only modest potential for localized sheltering or brief clearing to push the peak 1 °C higher or lower in the city’s orographic and coastal microclimates. No significant model updates or synoptic shifts have emerged in the past 24 hours, anchoring trader sentiment to the narrow 14–16 °C window reflected in the current implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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