Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
33°C 36%
32°C 25%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
8%
32°C
25%
33°C
36%
34°C
21%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
2%
33°C 36%
32°C 25%
34°C 21%
31°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
27°C or below
$419 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$86 Vol.
1%
29°C
$23 Vol.
1%
30°C
$140 Vol.
4%
31°C
$797 Vol.
8%
32°C
$575 Vol.
25%
33°C
$763 Vol.
36%
34°C
$2,310 Vol.
21%
35°C
$997 Vol.
6%
36°C
$451 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$242 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$6,804End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,804End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high of 32–34°C for Beijing on August 24 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and limited precipitation risk, positioning these outcomes as market leaders. Persistent warmth from the prior day’s 32–33°C readings, combined with typical late-August subtropical influences and the absence of strong cold fronts or heat domes, supports moderate intensification without extreme values. Historical averages near 30°C and a 33.9°C record underscore the plausibility of the 33°C peak implied by trader consensus, while model consensus and any afternoon cloud buildup or scattered showers introduce uncertainty that caps probabilities for 35°C or higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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