Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 24, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 31–33°C amid scattered light rain or thunderstorms that have not significantly suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring indicates low precipitation probability (under 30% in many runs) and dew points near 26°C, supporting peak readings around midday to early afternoon. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31°C (52.5% implied probability) or 32°C (35.5%), while lower odds on 33°C or above reflect minor uncertainties from potential brief cloud increases or localized showers near resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
31°C 53%
32°C 36%
30°C 5%
33°C 5%
NEW
$11,503 Vol.
NEW
$11,503 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
53%
32°C
36%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 53%
32°C 36%
30°C 5%
33°C 5%
NEW
$11,503 Vol.
NEW
$11,503 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$206 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$206 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$144 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$596 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$730 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,241 Vol.
5%
31°C
$3,099 Vol.
53%
32°C
$2,594 Vol.
36%
33°C
$882 Vol.
5%
34°C
$1,098 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$707 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 24, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 31–33°C amid scattered light rain or thunderstorms that have not significantly suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring indicates low precipitation probability (under 30% in many runs) and dew points near 26°C, supporting peak readings around midday to early afternoon. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31°C (52.5% implied probability) or 32°C (35.5%), while lower odds on 33°C or above reflect minor uncertainties from potential brief cloud increases or localized showers near resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$11,503End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 24, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 31–33°C amid scattered light rain or thunderstorms that have not significantly suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring indicates low precipitation probability (under 30% in many runs) and dew points near 26°C, supporting peak readings around midday to early afternoon. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31°C (52.5% implied probability) or 32°C (35.5%), while lower odds on 33°C or above reflect minor uncertainties from potential brief cloud increases or localized showers near resolution time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,503End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources project a daytime high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 24, driven by a persistent warm, humid subtropical air mass with southeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h and limited cloud cover allowing strong solar heating. Recent days have featured similar conditions with highs of 31–33°C amid scattered light rain or thunderstorms that have not significantly suppressed temperatures. Official monitoring indicates low precipitation probability (under 30% in many runs) and dew points near 26°C, supporting peak readings around midday to early afternoon. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31°C (52.5% implied probability) or 32°C (35.5%), while lower odds on 33°C or above reflect minor uncertainties from potential brief cloud increases or localized showers near resolution time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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