Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 25?
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
14%
31°C
43%
32°C
32%
33°C
8%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 43%
32°C 32%
30°C 14%
33°C 8%
NEW
NEW
Aug 25, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$27 Vol.
6%
30°C
$212 Vol.
14%
31°C
$605 Vol.
43%
32°C
$657 Vol.
32%
33°C
$16 Vol.
8%
34°C
$0 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,518End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,518End Date
Aug 25, 2026Market Opened
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a daily high of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 25, 2026, positioning these as the leading market outcomes. Persistent subtropical high pressure, southeasterly flow, and scattered showers are expected to limit intense solar heating while maintaining high humidity and dew points near 25–27°C, consistent with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C. Recent typhoon influences and updated model runs have reinforced this range rather than supporting extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Traders are weighing the inherent uncertainty in short-range guidance, with new observational data and refined model outputs expected in the next 24–48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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