NWS Miami forecasts and supporting model guidance position a daily high in the lower 90s as the most probable outcome for August 23, driven by mostly sunny morning conditions with patchy smoke, light southerly winds, and afternoon convection that typically develops by mid-afternoon in South Florida’s humid summer regime. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 91°F and recent days featuring similar 90–94°F readings without anomalous ridging. High humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F, but scattered thunderstorms—expected to initiate after peak heating—often cap maximum temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Updated radar trends and hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for whether the peak settles at 92–93°F or edges slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 23?
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 22%
88-89°F 1.1%
$19,134 Vol.
$19,134 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
92-93°F 57%
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 22%
88-89°F 1.1%
$19,134 Vol.
$19,134 Vol.
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
57%
94-95°F
22%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...NWS Miami forecasts and supporting model guidance position a daily high in the lower 90s as the most probable outcome for August 23, driven by mostly sunny morning conditions with patchy smoke, light southerly winds, and afternoon convection that typically develops by mid-afternoon in South Florida’s humid summer regime. This aligns with the long-term August average high near 91°F and recent days featuring similar 90–94°F readings without anomalous ridging. High humidity keeps heat indices above 105°F, but scattered thunderstorms—expected to initiate after peak heating—often cap maximum temperatures by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Updated radar trends and hourly observations through the afternoon will provide the clearest signals for whether the peak settles at 92–93°F or edges slightly higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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