Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on August 24 point to mostly sunny skies with highs in the lower 90s amid typical late-summer humidity and southeast winds of 5–10 mph, positioning 92–93°F as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered convection that often caps daytime peaks near the climatological average of 90.7°F, while recent observations from August 23 (highs near 90–93°F) and stable subtropical high pressure show no strong ridging or subsidence to support 94°F+ readings. Light winds and heat-index values near 105°F reflect high boundary-layer moisture rather than extreme sensible heat, keeping 90–91°F (34.5%) as the clear secondary range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on August 24?
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 55%
90-91°F 35%
94-95°F 7%
88-89°F 4%
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
35%
92-93°F
55%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Miami on August 24 point to mostly sunny skies with highs in the lower 90s amid typical late-summer humidity and southeast winds of 5–10 mph, positioning 92–93°F as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability. Persistent moisture and afternoon sea-breeze convergence favor scattered convection that often caps daytime peaks near the climatological average of 90.7°F, while recent observations from August 23 (highs near 90–93°F) and stable subtropical high pressure show no strong ridging or subsidence to support 94°F+ readings. Light winds and heat-index values near 105°F reflect high boundary-layer moisture rather than extreme sensible heat, keeping 90–91°F (34.5%) as the clear secondary range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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