**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 23?
80-81°F 85%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.0%
$3,459 Vol.
$3,459 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
85%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 85%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8.0%
$3,459 Vol.
$3,459 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$63 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$217 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$310 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$35 Vol.
9%
78-79°F
$78 Vol.
28%
80-81°F
$454 Vol.
85%
82-83°F
$575 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$1,508 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$55 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$115 Vol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$115 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,459End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,459End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent high humidity, widespread cloud cover, and light southerly flow are keeping Miami’s overnight minimum temperature tightly clustered near 79–81 °F on August 23.** Typical late-summer conditions limit radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points in the mid-70s and only modest clearing expected after evening thunderstorms. Official NWS guidance and recent model runs point to an overnight low in the upper 70s to low 80s, explaining why market-implied probabilities split almost evenly between the 78–79 °F and 80–81 °F bins. Any localized clearing or slightly stronger winds could nudge the reading toward the lower bin, while continued cloudiness or urban heat effects would favor the higher one; resolution hinges on the precise 24-hour minimum recorded at the primary observing station.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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