Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum likely near 28–30°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds of 3–5 m/s, reflecting typical late-summer marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. High uncertainty stems from potential variations in cloud cover, diurnal heating rates, and any late-day convection, which could push peaks toward 32–33°C or keep them at 27–29°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional humidity levels remain key variables influencing whether the daily high exceeds or falls short of 31°C thresholds. Trader consensus appears split amid these ensemble spreads and limited lead time before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 26?
33°C 34%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
22%
33°C
34%
34°C
21%
35°C or higher
4%
33°C 34%
32°C 22%
34°C 21%
31°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$5 Vol.
34%
34°C
$12 Vol.
21%
35°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum likely near 28–30°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds of 3–5 m/s, reflecting typical late-summer marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. High uncertainty stems from potential variations in cloud cover, diurnal heating rates, and any late-day convection, which could push peaks toward 32–33°C or keep them at 27–29°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional humidity levels remain key variables influencing whether the daily high exceeds or falls short of 31°C thresholds. Trader consensus appears split amid these ensemble spreads and limited lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum likely near 28–30°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds of 3–5 m/s, reflecting typical late-summer marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. High uncertainty stems from potential variations in cloud cover, diurnal heating rates, and any late-day convection, which could push peaks toward 32–33°C or keep them at 27–29°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional humidity levels remain key variables influencing whether the daily high exceeds or falls short of 31°C thresholds. Trader consensus appears split amid these ensemble spreads and limited lead time before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$41End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's August 26 maximum likely near 28–30°C under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with southerly winds of 3–5 m/s, reflecting typical late-summer marine moderation from the Yellow Sea. High uncertainty stems from potential variations in cloud cover, diurnal heating rates, and any late-day convection, which could push peaks toward 32–33°C or keep them at 27–29°C. Coastal sea-breeze circulation and regional humidity levels remain key variables influencing whether the daily high exceeds or falls short of 31°C thresholds. Trader consensus appears split amid these ensemble spreads and limited lead time before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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