Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
47%
33°C
31%
34°C or higher
5%
32°C 47%
33°C 31%
31°C 17%
34°C or higher 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$72 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$392 Vol.
1%
29°C
$332 Vol.
4%
30°C
$481 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,132 Vol.
17%
32°C
$1,945 Vol.
47%
33°C
$1,201 Vol.
31%
34°C or higher
$431 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$6,360End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,360End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a primary driver of partly cloudy skies and southerly flow on August 24, allowing greater solar insolation after recent mid-August rainfall and supporting market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 32–33°C. Qingdao’s coastal location on the Yellow Sea provides maritime moderation that typically caps August highs around the 28–29°C climatological average, yet reduced cloud cover, residual moisture, and local urban heat effects could elevate readings into the low 30s without triggering widespread convection. Model spread in timing of any afternoon showers introduces uncertainty around exact thresholds, while official station observations will resolve the market based on verified maximum temperature.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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