Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 24 overnight low will hinge on radiative cooling rates under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds of 3-4 m/s. Persistent marine moisture from the Yellow Sea and residual humidity after recent showers limit clear-sky heat loss, favoring lows near 26-27°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind mixing could suppress cooling toward 24°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical nocturnal drops of 4-7°C from daytime maxima around 29-30°C, but model spreads reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and advection patterns ahead of the next data release from regional forecasts. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by standard summer synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
55%
23°C
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
16%
26°C
20%
27°C
29%
28°C
37%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
48%
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$124 Vol.
55%
23°C
$139 Vol.
8%
24°C
$17 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$18 Vol.
20%
27°C
$5 Vol.
29%
28°C
$5 Vol.
37%
29°C
$5 Vol.
10%
30°C
$145 Vol.
14%
31°C
$145 Vol.
14%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 24 overnight low will hinge on radiative cooling rates under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds of 3-4 m/s. Persistent marine moisture from the Yellow Sea and residual humidity after recent showers limit clear-sky heat loss, favoring lows near 26-27°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind mixing could suppress cooling toward 24°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical nocturnal drops of 4-7°C from daytime maxima around 29-30°C, but model spreads reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and advection patterns ahead of the next data release from regional forecasts. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by standard summer synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 24 overnight low will hinge on radiative cooling rates under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds of 3-4 m/s. Persistent marine moisture from the Yellow Sea and residual humidity after recent showers limit clear-sky heat loss, favoring lows near 26-27°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind mixing could suppress cooling toward 24°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical nocturnal drops of 4-7°C from daytime maxima around 29-30°C, but model spreads reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and advection patterns ahead of the next data release from regional forecasts. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by standard summer synoptic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$607End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate Qingdao's August 24 overnight low will hinge on radiative cooling rates under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds of 3-4 m/s. Persistent marine moisture from the Yellow Sea and residual humidity after recent showers limit clear-sky heat loss, favoring lows near 26-27°C, while any increase in cloud cover or wind mixing could suppress cooling toward 24°C or below. Historical August baselines show typical nocturnal drops of 4-7°C from daytime maxima around 29-30°C, but model spreads reflect uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and advection patterns ahead of the next data release from regional forecasts. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range of plausible outcomes driven by standard summer synoptic conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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