Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 23?
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$27,468 Vol.
$27,468 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.7%
32°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$27,468 Vol.
$27,468 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$259 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$328 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,170 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,877 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,635 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$7,028 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,389 Vol.
100%
32°C
$3,204 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,447 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$27,468End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,468End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent hourly observations and short-range model guidance from sources aligned with the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao temperatures peaking near 31°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and southeast winds around 10-15 km/h. High humidity near 80-90% and a modest thermal anomaly relative to the late-August climatological mean of roughly 29°C support this level as the most probable daily maximum. The 99.7% market-implied odds for 31°C reflect trader consensus on these real-time conditions and limited upside potential before sunset. A stronger onshore flow or earlier heavy rainfall could cap readings at 29-30°C, while clearer skies and reduced precipitation might allow brief spikes to 32°C before official station data finalize the record.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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