Chongqing’s persistent late-summer heat, driven by a strong subtropical high and elevated soil and urban heat storage, keeps overnight lows anchored near or above 27 °C according to recent model consensus. High humidity and frequent thundershowers limit radiational cooling, while the city’s basin topography traps warm air. Official guidance shows August 24 minimums most likely between 25–28 °C, consistent with climatological norms of 25–26 °C and recent daily lows near 27 °C. The closely bunched market probabilities around 24–29 °C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban effects that could produce a 1–2 °C spread in final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
24°C 33%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
20%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
42%
29°C or higher 42%
27°C 34%
28°C 33%
24°C 33%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
33%
25°C
33%
26°C
20%
27°C
34%
28°C
33%
29°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s persistent late-summer heat, driven by a strong subtropical high and elevated soil and urban heat storage, keeps overnight lows anchored near or above 27 °C according to recent model consensus. High humidity and frequent thundershowers limit radiational cooling, while the city’s basin topography traps warm air. Official guidance shows August 24 minimums most likely between 25–28 °C, consistent with climatological norms of 25–26 °C and recent daily lows near 27 °C. The closely bunched market probabilities around 24–29 °C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud cover, rainfall timing, and localized urban effects that could produce a 1–2 °C spread in final readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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