Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high near 37°C for August 24, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings amid the city's subtropical summer pattern. Recent observations show daily maxima of 37–38.8°C through August 22–23 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting trader emphasis on the 36–38°C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Model spread arises from variable convective timing and urban heat effects, while historical August baselines near 35–36°C provide context for the current warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 24?
37°C 39%
36°C 27%
38°C 20%
35°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
11%
36°C
27%
37°C
39%
38°C
20%
39°C or higher
6%
37°C 39%
36°C 27%
38°C 20%
35°C 11%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
11%
36°C
27%
37°C
39%
38°C
20%
39°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Service and international models indicate a high near 37°C for August 24, with scattered afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover expected to moderate peak readings amid the city's subtropical summer pattern. Recent observations show daily maxima of 37–38.8°C through August 22–23 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, supporting trader emphasis on the 36–38°C range where probabilities cluster tightly. Model spread arises from variable convective timing and urban heat effects, while historical August baselines near 35–36°C provide context for the current warm anomaly. Resolution hinges on the final 24-hour maximum reported by official stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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