Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistently elevated overnight temperatures in Chongqing, with models projecting a daily minimum near 29°C on August 23 amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with high humidity levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and an urban heat island effect from the densely built metropolis, are sustaining these elevated minima. Historical August averages show typical lows of 24–26°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including weak frontal systems and warm air advection, have kept readings higher. Trader consensus at 72% for 29°C reflects alignment with these official guidance updates, while lower probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes account for potential minor model variability or localized cooling. No significant weather shift is anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
29°C 96%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.8%
25°C 1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
75%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
29°C 96%
28°C 3%
24°C 1.8%
25°C 1%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
17%
28°C
19%
29°C
75%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate persistently elevated overnight temperatures in Chongqing, with models projecting a daily minimum near 29°C on August 23 amid ongoing summer heat. Subtropical monsoon conditions, combined with high humidity levels that limit nocturnal radiative cooling and an urban heat island effect from the densely built metropolis, are sustaining these elevated minima. Historical August averages show typical lows of 24–26°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including weak frontal systems and warm air advection, have kept readings higher. Trader consensus at 72% for 29°C reflects alignment with these official guidance updates, while lower probabilities for 25–28°C outcomes account for potential minor model variability or localized cooling. No significant weather shift is anticipated before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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