Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers typical of late-summer monsoon conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Trader consensus around 26–28°C reflects model agreement on stable subtropical airflow without strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours on wind patterns and precipitation timing could shift implied probabilities if drier or more unstable conditions emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 26?
27°C 40%
32°C or higher 32%
22°C or below 31%
26°C 25%
22°C or below
31%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
32%
27°C 40%
32°C or higher 32%
22°C or below 31%
26°C 25%
22°C or below
31%
23°C
13%
24°C
11%
25°C
14%
26°C
25%
27°C
40%
28°C
24%
29°C
11%
30°C
11%
31°C
14%
32°C or higher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a daily minimum near 27°C on August 26 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered showers typical of late-summer monsoon conditions. These factors limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows aligned with the seasonal average of 26–27°C. Trader consensus around 26–28°C reflects model agreement on stable subtropical airflow without strong cold advection or clear-sky radiational cooling episodes. Updated guidance in the next 24–48 hours on wind patterns and precipitation timing could shift implied probabilities if drier or more unstable conditions emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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