Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the daily minimum at 28°C under mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on that exact outcome. August's climatological baseline features average lows near 27°C amid persistently warm, humid southerly flow, reinforced by the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a sharper drop in dew points that enhances nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
27°C 2%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
$21,608 Vol.
$21,608 Vol.
Aug 24, 2026
21°C or below
$120 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$120 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$210 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,510 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,856 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,271 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,597 Vol.
2%
28°C
$6,009 Vol.
99%
29°C
$5,660 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the daily minimum at 28°C under mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on that exact outcome. August's climatological baseline features average lows near 27°C amid persistently warm, humid southerly flow, reinforced by the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a sharper drop in dew points that enhances nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,608End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the daily minimum at 28°C under mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on that exact outcome. August's climatological baseline features average lows near 27°C amid persistently warm, humid southerly flow, reinforced by the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a sharper drop in dew points that enhances nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,608End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts place the daily minimum at 28°C under mainly cloudy conditions with a few showers, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.5% consensus on that exact outcome. August's climatological baseline features average lows near 27°C amid persistently warm, humid southerly flow, reinforced by the agency's seasonal outlook for normal to above-normal temperatures through October. Recent model consensus shows limited variability in overnight radiative cooling due to high humidity and cloud cover. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in convective activity or a sharper drop in dew points that enhances nocturnal cooling beyond current guidance, though such shifts remain unlikely given stable large-scale patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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