Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on August 26?
23°C or below 60%
33°C or higher 60%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
60%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
48%
27°C
26%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C
42%
33°C or higher
60%
23°C or below 60%
33°C or higher 60%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
60%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
48%
26°C
$0 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$0 Vol.
25%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
42%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models points to Wuhan overnight lows of 25–27°C on August 26, reflecting the influence of a strong subtropical high-pressure ridge that promotes clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling. This positioning creates tight uncertainty around the exact minimum, as small shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or weak moisture advection from lingering regional patterns could push the low below 24°C or hold it near 28°C. Historical August climatology shows typical daily minima of 24–27°C in Wuhan, with recent heatwave conditions across central China providing limited precedent for cooler outliers. Updated model runs and CMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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