Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature for London on August 26 of 17–19°C, with 17°C and 18°C emerging as the closest market-implied outcomes. An approaching low-pressure system from the southwest is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers, which will limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer recent nights. These conditions, combined with mild southerly flow and dew points near 15–16°C, support the narrow spread between leading probabilities while highlighting model uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or wind shifts that could alter the low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 26?
Lowest temperature in London on August 26?
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
15°C 17%
14°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
5%
13°C
10%
14°C
15%
15°C
17%
16°C
13%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
13%
20°C
8%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 35%
18°C 35%
15°C 17%
14°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 26, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
10%
14°C
$0 Vol.
15%
15°C
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$59 Vol.
13%
17°C
$101 Vol.
35%
18°C
$65 Vol.
35%
19°C
$12 Vol.
13%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature for London on August 26 of 17–19°C, with 17°C and 18°C emerging as the closest market-implied outcomes. An approaching low-pressure system from the southwest is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers, which will limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer recent nights. These conditions, combined with mild southerly flow and dew points near 15–16°C, support the narrow spread between leading probabilities while highlighting model uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or wind shifts that could alter the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$237End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature for London on August 26 of 17–19°C, with 17°C and 18°C emerging as the closest market-implied outcomes. An approaching low-pressure system from the southwest is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers, which will limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer recent nights. These conditions, combined with mild southerly flow and dew points near 15–16°C, support the narrow spread between leading probabilities while highlighting model uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or wind shifts that could alter the low by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$237End Date
Aug 26, 2026Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature for London on August 26 of 17–19°C, with 17°C and 18°C emerging as the closest market-implied outcomes. An approaching low-pressure system from the southwest is introducing increased cloud cover, humidity, and potential showers, which will limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clearer recent nights. These conditions, combined with mild southerly flow and dew points near 15–16°C, support the narrow spread between leading probabilities while highlighting model uncertainty in exact timing of any rain or wind shifts that could alter the low by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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