Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–16°C in London on August 24, driven by a freshening northerly flow under high pressure that promotes clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a mild daytime maximum around 23°C. Recent observations show overnight lows of 14°C on August 23 amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with limited cloud cover or wind preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 13–14°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute increase in humidity or frontal influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in London on August 24?
Lowest temperature in London on August 24?
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
27%
14°C
42%
15°C
11%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 42%
13°C 27%
15°C 11%
12°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 24, 2026
10°C or below
$29 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$79 Vol.
2%
12°C
$456 Vol.
7%
13°C
$544 Vol.
27%
14°C
$337 Vol.
42%
15°C
$1,117 Vol.
11%
16°C
$100 Vol.
5%
17°C
$20 Vol.
2%
18°C
$29 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–16°C in London on August 24, driven by a freshening northerly flow under high pressure that promotes clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a mild daytime maximum around 23°C. Recent observations show overnight lows of 14°C on August 23 amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with limited cloud cover or wind preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 13–14°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute increase in humidity or frontal influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,791End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–16°C in London on August 24, driven by a freshening northerly flow under high pressure that promotes clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a mild daytime maximum around 23°C. Recent observations show overnight lows of 14°C on August 23 amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with limited cloud cover or wind preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 13–14°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute increase in humidity or frontal influence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,791End Date
Aug 24, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 2:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 13–16°C in London on August 24, driven by a freshening northerly flow under high pressure that promotes clear skies and efficient nocturnal radiative cooling after a mild daytime maximum around 23°C. Recent observations show overnight lows of 14°C on August 23 amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with limited cloud cover or wind preventing stronger warming. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 13–14°C outcomes while highlighting sensitivity to any last-minute increase in humidity or frontal influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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