Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei of 25–27°C for August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical summer regime. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August, when average daily lows hover near 26°C amid frequent convective activity and the absence of cooler air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects the tight spread in ensemble guidance, with any clearing skies or heavier rain potentially shifting the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Taipei on August 26?
24°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
23°C 46%
20°C or below
28%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
46%
24°C
49%
25°C
33%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 49%
28°C 47%
29°C 47%
23°C 46%
20°C or below
28%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
46%
24°C
49%
25°C
33%
26°C
34%
27°C
25%
28°C
47%
29°C
47%
30°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and international models indicate overnight lows in Taipei of 25–27°C for August 26, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80–90%, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling in the subtropical summer regime. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August, when average daily lows hover near 26°C amid frequent convective activity and the absence of cooler air intrusions. Trader emphasis on 25–26°C outcomes reflects the tight spread in ensemble guidance, with any clearing skies or heavier rain potentially shifting the minimum by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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